Exit Strategy For Bad Mortgages: House Short Sale
If you are like the rest of us, your home has recently dropped in value by a whole lot. There comes a time when you have to ask yourself if it makes sense anymore to continue the monthly agony of pouring money, time and effort into a never ending black hole. It may be time for you to look at some of your exit options, short of foreclosure. Here's how I determined my position, and how I decided if I need a house short sale.
1) Interview Realtors: Find one that you can trust who either specializes in house short sales, or has done at least 30 of them. An added bonus would be a degree in finance, such as an MBA and a real estate brokers license. The license gives them addition legal responsibility to act in your best interest. It might be wise to consult a CPA and real estate attorney as well, but it will be your realtor that creates and finishes the deal. Please make sure you don't get swindled by one the companies that asks you to send them the money up front. A legitimate realtor will pay ALL the fees including marketing costs, and get reimbursed when the lender pays the commission.
2) What's the Home Worth Today? Get a good valuation from your realtor. In reality, when you meet to talk, she should already have the comps ready to hand you. Don't waste your money on a official appraisal as it won't be used anyway. This is one situation where you want to be incredibly realistic, even pessimistic about the value, and not succumb to emotional attachment for the house. The more upside down you are in the loan, the greater chance for success in your house short sale.
3) Now Do Some Figuring: Here's where I figured out if I needed a short sale. You can follow along with your own numbers: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. We will assume the best case scenario. In a FAST appreciating market, this is how much your house value would go up each year, if the housing bubble was over today. (yeah right!) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Now look at your Yearly Cost to Keep the House. Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $900,000 - $700,000 = $200,000 Estimated Annual Costs: Include all your yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: A health growth real estate market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
The Bottom Line: It will cost $60,000 per year in payments, for 12.5 years, just to break even with the original value. That's assuming a strong market with all 12.5 of those years of appreciation, at 8%. In that time period over $750,000 will have been spent in principle, interest, taxes, and insurance, along with other expenses with no equity gain.
So in this example, the choice is not a difficult one. There comes a point to where hanging on, just doesn't make good sense. As most experienced traders say, "Know when to say quit, so you can live to trade another day.
1) Interview Realtors: Find one that you can trust who either specializes in house short sales, or has done at least 30 of them. An added bonus would be a degree in finance, such as an MBA and a real estate brokers license. The license gives them addition legal responsibility to act in your best interest. It might be wise to consult a CPA and real estate attorney as well, but it will be your realtor that creates and finishes the deal. Please make sure you don't get swindled by one the companies that asks you to send them the money up front. A legitimate realtor will pay ALL the fees including marketing costs, and get reimbursed when the lender pays the commission.
2) What's the Home Worth Today? Get a good valuation from your realtor. In reality, when you meet to talk, she should already have the comps ready to hand you. Don't waste your money on a official appraisal as it won't be used anyway. This is one situation where you want to be incredibly realistic, even pessimistic about the value, and not succumb to emotional attachment for the house. The more upside down you are in the loan, the greater chance for success in your house short sale.
3) Now Do Some Figuring: Here's where I figured out if I needed a short sale. You can follow along with your own numbers: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. We will assume the best case scenario. In a FAST appreciating market, this is how much your house value would go up each year, if the housing bubble was over today. (yeah right!) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Now look at your Yearly Cost to Keep the House. Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $900,000 - $700,000 = $200,000 Estimated Annual Costs: Include all your yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: A health growth real estate market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
The Bottom Line: It will cost $60,000 per year in payments, for 12.5 years, just to break even with the original value. That's assuming a strong market with all 12.5 of those years of appreciation, at 8%. In that time period over $750,000 will have been spent in principle, interest, taxes, and insurance, along with other expenses with no equity gain.
So in this example, the choice is not a difficult one. There comes a point to where hanging on, just doesn't make good sense. As most experienced traders say, "Know when to say quit, so you can live to trade another day.
About the Author:
If you liked this story, come read some more on my blog at HouseShortSale.org. It's free and there's no sign up, just good information about how I dealt with my house short sale!
posted by Credit Counseling at
7:48 AM
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